The caveat to that is that the coach brought 2 players with him from Montana State who were massive contributors.

I think full transfer squads can find success, but for a player like Waterman, you are taking a massive gamble joining one. You are betting that you are going to be a stand out on a team with a ton of proven talent, and you have no prior success with the coach/team to lean on.

I think it will be a huge mistake for Noah to leave for Louisville. I think the odds are higher than 50% that he is one of the players that never carves out a niche while the staff tries to put all the pieces together.