Economy suffers, especially in hotspot areas. Lose up to 150k or something like that (arbitrary). It's the exercise from this twitter thread.

https://twitter.com/iowahawkblog/status/1239925985929310213

"Military example: give a platoon leader a choice between route (A) with a 100% chance that 10% of the platoon will die, and route (B) with a 90% chance that all of the platoon will live and 10% chance that all will die. Most platoon leaders will pick B."