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Apr 1, 2020
2:28
:56
pm
Joe Banks
All-American
Running the numbers of average historical deaths to actual 2020 dead ...
... would yield far larger numbers than are being reported. Someone a while ago posted data from Italy to this effect.
This message has been modified
Originally posted on Apr 1, 2020 at 2:28:56pm
Message modified by Joe Banks on Apr 1, 2020 at 2:34:19pm
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Joe Banks
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Paco
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Joe Banks
Joined
Feb 7, 2002
Last login
May 29, 2024
Total posts
18,735 (42 FO)
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Messages
Author
Time
660 dead so far today. Guessing we will see 1100+ pass away today. If so, that
jkccoug
4/1/20 2:24pm
Are you saying the rate of deaths reported during the day are uniformly distributed?
Indy Coug
4/1/20 2:25pm
No. I have been checking at 2:30 every day for 2 weeks or so. Generally the
jkccoug
4/1/20 2:27pm
It doesn't work that way, there are only a few states that report
CSoul
4/1/20 2:28pm
I have the data. I'm only telling you what it says. It varies some but
jkccoug
4/1/20 2:32pm
I would suspect a lot of Western States report later in the day
coolcats
4/1/20 2:36pm
Running the numbers of average historical deaths to actual 2020 dead ...
Joe Banks
4/1/20 2:28pm
WA state seeing flood of new cases: not reported yet. See link below
flyzag
4/1/20 2:34pm
Might not be as scary as it seems, from the article
Busiturtle
4/1/20 2:38pm
Absolutely. But let's not forget, just because we test negative today doesn't
flyzag
4/1/20 2:44pm
It will go away this summer before we have a vaccine.
Joe Banks
4/1/20 2:47pm
I wish I had your optimism.
flyzag
4/1/20 4:27pm
Here is a leading forecast that basically says exactly that.
Joe Banks
4/1/20 4:37pm
On the other end: Michael Osterholm stated again yesterday that he projects
flyzag
4/1/20 4:41pm
Models expect 2600 in 2 weeks
CallingDingo
4/1/20 4:45pm
I'm not sure if it will take that long or not. If it does we should be happy
jkccoug
4/1/20 4:47pm
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