I don't get it ... the strategic move does seem to be "go on defense first".
BUT the analytics say, the team on offense first wins slightly more often.
The first few years, it was something like 60/40 for the team on Defense first would win.
But in the last two or three, it's now something like 53/47 in favor of the team on Offense first.
Not a HUGE difference, but a slight advantage.... that seems very counter institutive