The probability that BYU gets let into the AAC before 2022 > 90%
The probability that BYU gets into a P5 conference in 2023-2025 < 20%
The probability that BYU gets into the AAC after 2025 <20%
Sadly, Today: P5>>>>>Indy>AAC>>>>>MWC>Other G5.
Sadder, 2025: P5>>>AAC>>>Indy>>>>>MWC>Other G5.
Mark my words, BYU will blow it with the next round of realignment...