It's the hospitalizations that are so far off. It's easy for them

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Apr 4, 2020
10:17:44pm

CSoul Truly Addicted User

to get the deaths right because they revised it on April 1st. That's a lagging metric.

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CSoul

Previous username: tsm26
Bio page: CSoul
Joined: Nov 20, 2005
Last login: Jun 17, 2024
Total posts: 67,266 (14,145 FO)

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Messages

Author

Time

Evidence will continue to come in, but another example of early estimates being

CSoul

4/4/20 9:52pm

The Washington study continues to diverge as well. Utah is already supposed

CSoul

4/4/20 10:00pm

Sweden can't prove us wrong soon enough...

Plato

4/4/20 10:03pm

I hope you’re right. Even as bad as things are here in Michigan

CommodoreCoug

4/4/20 10:14pm

It's the hospitalizations that are so far off. It's easy for them

CSoul

4/4/20 10:17pm

What I mean is that even with UW updating the data on 4/1

CommodoreCoug

4/4/20 10:23pm

Yeh, totally. I'm just saying that because their hospitalizations are

CSoul

4/4/20 10:25pm

Yeah ihc hospital stays are averaging 7 days

johnnycarson

4/4/20 10:26pm

For Michigan, April 4 is 17 deaths below the range you stated.

chilango

4/5/20 1:21am

And deaths per day in Michigan have been flat for 6 days. Not a bad trend

YIsForBrigham

4/4/20 10:28pm

Michigan ended April 4 at 540 deaths.

chilango

4/5/20 1:17am

That doesn’t match up with the numbers on the state’s website

CommodoreCoug

4/5/20 6:38am

Looks like the cut-off times are different? The Michigan site says it cuts off

chilango

4/5/20 10:58am

Interesting

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