Since Kalani is almost guranteed at this point to get to 8 wins with uMass and what I assume will be 2 very winnable games against SDSU and Hawaii. I am pretty sure Kalani knew at the beginning of the season that he needed 'X' wins and a bowl appearance for a contract extension.
My thoughts since the beginning of the season on Kalani's extension were as follows.
<2% Chance that We win 11+ games and have a 2006 like coming out season, with a NY6 bowl.
8% Chance that Kalani leads to team to a 10-3 record and an impressive season with a slow start.
15% Chance that Kalani gets BYU back to 9-4 and BYU gives him a multi-year contract.
35% Chance that BYU finds a way to get to 8-5 and can state that they are "righting the ship" it will just take time. Depending if the final game was a win or loss fans will be either happy or mad all off-season. Let's face it, fans have a short memory and the final game matters a lot going into the offseason.
20% Chance BYU ends up being 7-6 at the end of the season, lots of coach speak and empty promises, Kalani could be let go, or given 1 more year. If BYU wins its bowl game I am guessing that Kalani is given another year.
8% Chance BYU finishes at 6-7 overall, a bowl game loss will be disheartening and the
#NewCoach search will begin shortly.
7% Chance BYU doesnt make it to a bowl game and Kalani is fired.