100% of models are wrong

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Mar 25, 2020
2:00:26pm

kcca Starter

100% of models are wrong

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kcca

Bio page: kcca
Joined: Aug 3, 2015
Last login: May 5, 2024
Total posts: 3,400 (9 FO)

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Messages

Author

Time

Oxford epidemiologist says models are likely wrong.

mbs6

3/25/20 8:45am

RE: Oxford epidemiologist says models are likely wrong.

BigYfan

3/25/20 8:47am

His arguments make sense too. If the virus is as contagious as they say I don’t

JollyGreenGiant

3/25/20 8:50am

Or how about Tokyo? With the area having 40 million people, most of whom commute

3/25/20 9:29am

It doesn't make sense that you would have only several dozen people infected

Unibro

3/25/20 9:45am

And how did only ONE jazz player get it from Rudy?

The Old Y

3/25/20 10:11am

And that's assuming Mitchell got it from Gobert, which isn't proven.

ochobeeguy

3/25/20 12:23pm

Could have been the other way around, or possibly both got it from the same

TailgateU

3/25/20 12:46pm

My theory: Gobert & Mitchell were asymptomatic. Gobert and Mudiay had same thing

ochobeeguy

3/25/20 1:10pm

95% sure I contracted coronavirus on January 17th.

JupiterJones

3/25/20 10:14am

I know a lot of people here in Indiana who think the same thing.

CougarScrub

3/25/20 1:16pm

I know so many people who have similar stories. It is really weird.

JohnnyComeLately

3/25/20 1:31pm

When are the experts ever right when it comes to projections? It doesn't mean

SnickSnack

3/25/20 10:26am

The moral high ground has been established, even if the shut down

boogers

3/25/20 8:50am

What percentage of infected are being tested?

Busiturtle

3/25/20 8:52am

“We need immediately to begin large-scale serological surveys, antibody testing to assess what stage of the epidemic

Indy Coug

3/25/20 8:53am

That would be a smart thing to do

Busiturtle

3/25/20 8:55am

100%

runnincoug

3/25/20 9:24am

we need phlebotomy labs on every corner. Red Cross!

Bob Vance

3/25/20 9:29am

And they can collect blood while they are at it.

TailgateU

3/25/20 9:43am

The Doomsday side was originally based off of horrible projections.

3/25/20 9:57am

Even this optimistic view is not that optimistic

kC Cougar

3/25/20 10:47am

1- 700,000 deaths , of course it’s an overreaction

towerman

3/25/20 11:20am

"Ignore the disaster unfolding at hospitals and listen to ME"

Mitty

3/25/20 12:35pm

There are also well-educated people who think oils will protect you.

StalwartBraveTrue

3/25/20 12:53pm

But these people are epidemiologists, not just generally well-educated people.

mbs6

3/25/20 1:20pm

But wouldnt increased testing yield results of more cases then per test?

3/25/20 1:02pm

100% of models are wrong

kcca

3/25/20 2:00pm

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