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Apr 2, 2020
10:43
:04
am
Indy Coug
Loquacious Lummox
The rate of the increase in daily new cases in the US is decreasing
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Indy Coug
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Indy Coug
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Dec 20, 2001
Last login
May 7, 2024
Total posts
184,866 (9,840 FO)
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Messages
Author
Time
The rate of the increase in daily new cases in the US is decreasing
Indy Coug
Loquacious Lummox
4/2/20 10:43am
Nice work, everyone! Social distancing FTW.
SandYFan
4/2/20 10:44am
How much longer will the economy be shut down?
boogers
4/2/20 11:03am
No one knows!
SandYFan
4/2/20 11:08am
When do YOU think it should open up?
boogers
4/2/20 11:15am
Ummmmmmmmmmmm,
CodeBlueCoug
4/2/20 11:30am
Don't share good news or hope on here. Shame.
Benfica1
4/2/20 10:45am
Almost all cases they are seeing now have had symptoms
travelcoug
4/2/20 10:45am
My daughter is on day 10 of her fever and cough
bluelands
4/2/20 10:54am
So sorry to hear. Best wishes for her recovery.
mannheimadler
4/2/20 11:02am
Interesting thing is you hear so much about how contagious it is
bluelands
4/2/20 11:06am
Get this now
travelcoug
4/2/20 11:20am
Thanks for posting good news
johnnybyu
4/2/20 10:49am
maybe but the graph is total cases.
TomPetty
4/2/20 10:50am
Epidemic growth is measured by exponential growth. That's a function of the rate of growth
Indy Coug
4/2/20 10:54am
Exactly and the time it takes to get to zero growth matters
TomPetty
4/2/20 11:00am
Right but everyone has been talking about flattening the curve, that's the most
Windward_Coug
4/2/20 11:02am
This thread is the perfect example how people don't understand what
CSoul
4/2/20 11:05am
Wow, I’m a 1 percenter!
TomPetty
4/2/20 11:12am
I'm not smart with this stuff. So are you saying this is a positive sign graph
Baseball77
4/2/20 11:14am
A 40% daily growth rate would basically make the number of cases double in two days
Indy Coug
4/2/20 11:17am
The question is the timing of the limiting rate of growth.
TomPetty
4/2/20 11:14am
Right, and I think the chart shows there is showing a fairly rapid drop in that rate right now
Indy Coug
4/2/20 11:16am
Fair enough and certainly good news
TomPetty
4/2/20 11:17am
CSoul is so smart.
Benfica1
4/2/20 11:16am
Way smarter than most and doing good work
TomPetty
4/2/20 11:18am
Nah.
Benfica1
4/2/20 11:24am
I’ll bet you $1,000 his IQ is more than 1 SD
TomPetty
4/2/20 11:26am
What is the rate of doubling of deaths?
Archaea
4/2/20 10:53am
Misleading to show % growth in TOTAL cases. Law of large numbers.
beantownblue
4/2/20 10:53am
The law of large numbers would apply to something like the mortality rate
Indy Coug
4/2/20 11:00am
which uses total cases as its denomenator, does it not? But in any event, the rate of change is useful info
Bob Vance
4/2/20 11:18am
how does that compare to the number of new tests?
Littlerich
4/2/20 11:00am
You should use a three day rolling average, call it Social Defensive Efficiency
IAmSpartyCoug
4/2/20 11:04am
That'll smooth it but it really doesn't alter the slope very much
Indy Coug
4/2/20 11:06am
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