When the option was beating Utah and finishing 9-3 and playing against a P5 in a bowl game (likely a mediocre one, given our bowl agreements) 88% said yes

When the option was the exact same, except Utah game is left up in the air, and the P5 opponent is named, we're down to 16% saying yes.

I'm starting to think we put way too much emphasis on one game. FWIW, I voted no in both polls. You have to chase the highs. It's better to finish 6th three times and 1st once than to continually finish 2nd. There's a real chance we finish 8-5 next season, and it's probably even statistically the best bet. But if the ball bounces right, and things line up, magic can always happen and I'd hate to lose that chance for a guaranteed 'pretty-good, but not great' season.