As you mentioned most people have us in the play-in game right now which is a pretty fair assessment. That's basically a jump of 2 full seed lines based upon 1 single win so it's hard to complain about that.

Concerning Boise State, I agree that them losing would be best for BYU as it would make us less likely to have to play in the first 4 in Dayton. I currently have BYU ahead of Boise State, but with Boise State slotted in as the auto-bid it in turns bumps all the at-large teams down a notch.

It's the same exact situation in the A10 where I currently have Davidson pegged as the auto-bid but still behind BYU in the S-curve. It'd be best if VCU can win that conference tournament since they're getting in anyways. BYU still have a chance to be seeded ahead of Dayton so it's better if VCU wins than Dayton, but Dayton winning the conference tournament wouldn't shrink the at-large field so better Dayton wins than Davidson or Rhode Island.

Concerning Temple, I have BYU ahead of Temple already. In fact, I don't even have Temple in my field right now as I don't think the have the resume to be included. They have a big win at Kansas and solid SOS numbers, but they've lost just about every big game they've played this year (like you mentioned). NC State, on the other hand, does have a pretty strong resume. They have 5 wins against RPI top-50 teams including wins against Duke, @ UNC, and @ Louisville. They are 2-4 against the RPI 51-100 range (not the 2-7 you mentioned). They also have a VERY strong SOS. Their biggest negative is their losing road/neutral record. Some of the computer ratings aren't that high on them, but when looking at their overall resume it's easy for them to be placed above the other bubble teams, though I do have them as one of my "last 4 byes" right now so they could still slide below BYU with a poor finish.