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Oct 12, 2015
10:27
:46
pm
Indy Coug
Comebacks: how often do they really happen?
BYU overcame a 14 point deficit against East Carolina to win last week. How often does something like that happen in college football as a whole?
Deficit Win%
10-14 13.0%
15-17 4.7%
18-21 2.7%
22-28 0.5%
29+ 0.1%
This message has been modified
Originally posted on Oct 12, 2015 at 10:27:46pm
Message modified by Indy Coug on Oct 12, 2015 at 10:28:06pm
Message modified by Indy Coug on Oct 12, 2015 at 10:28:27pm
Message modified by Indy Coug on Oct 12, 2015 at 10:28:46pm
Message modified by Indy Coug on Oct 12, 2015 at 10:29:02pm
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Indy Coug
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Indy Coug
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Dec 20, 2001
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Messages
Author
Time
Comebacks: how often do they really happen?
Indy Coug
10/12/15 10:27pm
Can you get the number right at 14?
Shimmy
10/12/15 10:29pm
Teams that trail 14-0 in the first quarter lose 90.5% of the time
Indy Coug
10/12/15 10:31pm
You should have posted these stats during the game. The meltdown would have been
Conan
10/12/15 11:01pm
What's the sample period?
Random Walk
10/12/15 10:30pm
Since 2005. Deficits occur at any time in the game
Indy Coug
10/12/15 10:31pm
Wow--at any time in the game...that's really surprising to me.
Random Walk
10/12/15 10:32pm
You don't really want deficits too late in games to be included in this stat
PortlandCoug
10/12/15 10:40pm
Agreed--that's why I wanted the clarification.
Random Walk
10/12/15 10:45pm
Ok, but the 14 point deficit was a bit of a fluke in the first place.
ThetaSigma
10/12/15 10:31pm
I bet the odds are pretty low to win after suffering a blocked punt for a TD.
SCcoug
10/12/15 10:33pm
Probably. What are the odds to win if you score 28 straight points?
ThetaSigma
10/12/15 10:34pm
What's BYU's percentage since 2005?
CoopDizz
10/12/15 10:43pm
Nice analysis - thanks
FiveTen-BuckEighty
10/12/15 10:52pm
ECU had a 4.7% chance of coming back.....good for them
WJCougar
10/12/15 11:16pm
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