Agreed--that's why I wanted the clarification.

Oct 12, 2015
10:45:13pm

Random Walk

I thought that the stat was only for the end of the game--opening it up to any point makes the number surprising. Indy's post above about the 1st quarter makes it even more surprising.

Report problem with this ad

Random Walk

Previous username: newey-west
New username: a priori
Bio page: Random Walk
Joined: Sep 22, 2007
Last login: Nov 17, 2017
Total posts: 0 (0 FO)

Report problem with this ad

Messages

Author

Time

Comebacks: how often do they really happen?

Indy Coug

10/12/15 10:27pm

Can you get the number right at 14?

Shimmy

10/12/15 10:29pm

Teams that trail 14-0 in the first quarter lose 90.5% of the time

Indy Coug

10/12/15 10:31pm

You should have posted these stats during the game. The meltdown would have been

Conan

10/12/15 11:01pm

What's the sample period?

Random Walk

10/12/15 10:30pm

Since 2005. Deficits occur at any time in the game

Indy Coug

10/12/15 10:31pm

Wow--at any time in the game...that's really surprising to me.

Random Walk

10/12/15 10:32pm

You don't really want deficits too late in games to be included in this stat

PortlandCoug

10/12/15 10:40pm

Agreed--that's why I wanted the clarification.

Random Walk

10/12/15 10:45pm

Ok, but the 14 point deficit was a bit of a fluke in the first place.

ThetaSigma

10/12/15 10:31pm

I bet the odds are pretty low to win after suffering a blocked punt for a TD.

SCcoug

10/12/15 10:33pm

Probably. What are the odds to win if you score 28 straight points?

ThetaSigma

10/12/15 10:34pm

What's BYU's percentage since 2005?

CoopDizz

10/12/15 10:43pm

Nice analysis - thanks

FiveTen-BuckEighty

10/12/15 10:52pm

ECU had a 4.7% chance of coming back.....good for them

Posting on CougarBoard