could pick only one game to win, which would you pick?" As bamacoug states, if you look at it as a guaranteed win in one game and unaffected odds in the other, picking LSU is easy because you still might beat Utah too.
Looking at it as which you'd rather win if you could win only one for sure and the other you'd lose for sure, I think picking Utah becomes more understandable.
Seems a lot are interpreting the question differently, which leads to the argument.