What is the average time a consumer holds onto a car then factor in how long it

Jun 26, 2017
3:25:58pm

Baron All-American

will take to get autonmous cars on the market. I think those together will be more than 8 years. Maybe in 15, but I don't think it could happen much faster than that.

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Baron

Previous username: jarocho
Bio page: Baron
Joined: Sep 1, 2006
Last login: May 14, 2024
Total posts: 94,460 (32,869 FO)

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Messages

Author

Time

Self-driving cars will be the norm by 2025 at the latest. Take it to the bank.

SandYFan

6/26/17 3:16pm

I hope so, idiot drivers drive me nuts.

IceCreamButt

6/26/17 3:18pm

I'm down, just as long as cops look as good as they did in Back to the Future...

ToasterChive

6/26/17 3:19pm

They won't be the norm quite that soon, but they'll be on the road & disrupting

chilango

6/26/17 3:20pm

Who will pay for it?

BNcoug

6/26/17 3:20pm

Pay for what? The car industry will be remodeled as a service instead of

SandYFan

6/26/17 3:20pm

Mexico

jonnnylingo

6/26/17 3:35pm

Nope. These huge projects never roll out quickly

TNT

6/26/17 3:20pm

I used to work for one of the largest insurance companies in the country in

Helm Hammerhand

6/26/17 3:20pm

2025? Doubtful.

IndependentGeorge

6/26/17 3:21pm

What infrastructure?

SandYFan

6/26/17 3:22pm

Freight won't travel on the same roads as vehicles holding people.

Triggerhappybunny

6/26/17 3:23pm

Because of worry they aren't safe? Seems a huge expense to

SandYFan

6/26/17 3:26pm

If there were no concerns over sleepy drivers it would only make sense for

Triggerhappybunny

6/26/17 3:30pm

Hmmm. Good points. Guess we'll see.

SandYFan

6/26/17 3:32pm

Technology. Having some kind of universal system that all car companies can

IndependentGeorge

6/26/17 3:26pm

Totally unnecessary. It could provide a benefit but the cars will easily be able

Spine

6/26/17 6:41pm

I think self-driving cars will happen but not so soon. There is a huge inertia

tisdaplace

6/26/17 3:23pm

What is the average time a consumer holds onto a car then factor in how long it

Baron

6/26/17 3:25pm

I doubt most people will wait until the end of their normal

SandYFan

6/26/17 3:28pm

No.

Baron

6/26/17 3:30pm

What are they going to do with a car they bought 3 yrs ago for $40K?

tisdaplace

6/26/17 3:30pm

Cash for clunkers program? Might be an incentive from the government

SandYFan

6/26/17 3:31pm

Where's the government getting the money to buy all these cars?

tisdaplace

6/26/17 3:33pm

Everything will be completely socialized at that point

TNT

6/26/17 3:34pm

Governmental money is fake anyway.

SandYFan

6/26/17 3:39pm

People switched over from buying CD's to subscribing to Spotify

SandYFan

6/26/17 3:26pm

The sunk costs on CDs are so small relative to a car. It's comparing apple/orang

tisdaplace

6/26/17 3:28pm

I dunno I think cars generate more annoyance than CD's, too.

SandYFan

6/26/17 3:29pm

You're looking at cars as just a means for transportation. For MANY people, cars

tisdaplace

6/26/17 3:33pm

Okay, how many people view cars this way? 10%? 5%? Can't be that high.

SandYFan

6/26/17 3:40pm

I'm not arguing with you on if self-driving car will happen since it will. I'm

tisdaplace

6/26/17 3:43pm

What if I just wanna go off-roading in my truck?

SaintGeorgeYFan

6/26/17 8:53pm

It will be super easy to retrofit a car to be self driving. Seriously there is

Spine

6/26/17 6:43pm

That's one advancement I will never utilize

Backcountry

6/26/17 3:25pm

Hahahahahaha. That would be foolish.

Baron

6/26/17 3:27pm

How so? I can see myself owning both, but never self driving exclusively.

Backcountry

6/26/17 3:35pm

That is different. You said never utilize which would be foolish. Sometimes

Baron

6/26/17 3:37pm

I guess I meant I wouldn't chose driverless over piloted.

Backcountry

6/26/17 3:39pm

I can see for some people they would want to drive. I just think I would use it

Baron

6/26/17 3:41pm

For every day stuff it would be amazing. I guess that's what we will see.

Backcountry

6/26/17 3:45pm

I think you will have a self driving car that can switch to human driver mode

CDV

6/26/17 4:00pm

Not even for long trips?

SandYFan

6/26/17 3:29pm

TNT would. He could focus so much more on hot chicks while riding

TNT

6/26/17 3:29pm

you may be forced to use it. if the data are clear that autonomous cars are significantly safer than human driven

HarlemCoug

6/26/17 3:31pm

Wow. It's like that I, Robot movie

TNT

6/26/17 3:31pm

I'll pay what it cost to drive my own car.

Backcountry

6/26/17 3:35pm

They may make it completely cost prohibitive for you. Or flat out illegal

TNT

6/26/17 3:37pm

And this will happen in EIGHT years!??

tisdaplace

6/26/17 3:39pm

No. The timeline is what is in question

TNT

6/26/17 3:46pm

I'm assuming NYC will make it illegal. The politicians will say they have an obligation to protect citizens and that

HarlemCoug

6/26/17 3:40pm

They can have my 4x4 after then pry my cold dead hands off the steering wheel.

Backcountry

6/26/17 3:41pm

If you live in the backcountry, as your name suggests, or some other rural

IndependentGeorge

6/26/17 3:42pm

and downtowns won't need as many parking lots. It will be a major shift when new office buildings don't need to

HarlemCoug

6/26/17 3:25pm

I work for a company that makes software for insurance adjustors

BradioHead

6/26/17 3:26pm

There needs to be a movie set in the year 2075 where mankind has become extinct

Triggerhappybunny

6/26/17 3:47pm

my cars have adaptive cruise control. I always use it. I rarely use the pedals when I drive. The acc is better at

HarlemCoug

6/26/17 3:33pm

Also the computer is worlds better than you are at braking.

SandYFan

6/26/17 3:51pm

I hope that's true and I think it will fundamentally change society as much as

Cougar-Duck

6/26/17 3:37pm

Seems reasonble. It's more a question of timeline

TNT

6/26/17 3:39pm

8 years? LOL How much would you be willing to bet? I'll drive my personal car

Big Daddy D

6/26/17 3:47pm

Betting on CB is against board rules.

SandYFan

6/26/17 3:50pm

<< Deleted >>

Abe Froman

6/26/17 4:01pm

thoughts on this statement. most cars sold in 2025 will be designed to spend most of their driving time on auto.

HarlemCoug

6/26/17 4:07pm

Could be. However, Americans love their cars too much for full adoption

Big Daddy D

6/26/17 5:25pm

How will we see those benefits unless everyone is in them?

Lip Gallagher

6/26/17 3:51pm

<< Deleted >>

BlazersCougarsDucks

6/26/17 3:51pm

Can you wait 10 minutes before leaving your home? Because that's the idea.

SandYFan

6/26/17 4:04pm

Depending on where you live.

YardTime

6/26/17 4:07pm

<< Deleted >>

BlazersCougarsDucks

6/26/17 4:26pm

I've heard kids born now won't ever "drive" a car. That makes sense but it will take longer for us drivers to adopt

CotoCoug

6/26/17 4:05pm

If it were up to us, sure. But eventually driving your own car will be seen

SandYFan

6/26/17 4:17pm

No way. That's way too soon

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