I actually think giving us a 66% chance against Utah is rediculous is to high.  At this point, it seems 50/50.  I also have a hard time with 64% against Boise.  I actually see that as a 50/50 game.  They dominated the game against us last year--except our 2 pick 6's kept us in the game.  I think we have a better than 28% chance against Mississippi St--maybe 40%.  I like our chances against Wisconsin better than 25%.

I'm  a little more optimistic about the wins.  I feel like we are right at 9.5 wins.  I'd be ecstatic with 10-3.  That would be a big big year with this schedule.