I actually think giving us a 66% chance against Utah is rediculous is to high. At this point, it seems 50/50. I also have a hard time with 64% against Boise. I actually see that as a 50/50 game. They dominated the game against us last year--except our 2 pick 6's kept us in the game. I think we have a better than 28% chance against Mississippi St--maybe 40%. I like our chances against Wisconsin better than 25%.
I'm a little more optimistic about the wins. I feel like we are right at 9.5 wins. I'd be ecstatic with 10-3. That would be a big big year with this schedule.