Jan 31, 2023
2:31:39pm
2:31:39pm
Playoff expansion means your odds of getting a playoff bid could be greater..
There are 12 playoff spots.
Six of those go to the highest ranked conference champions. (ACC/Big 12/B1G/PAC/SEC/G5).
The other six bids are for at large teams (Notre Dame and others).
The odds of securing a automatic playoff bid for the PAC is (1/10) and Big 12 (1/12).
With expansion, the conferences can secure "de facto" autobids in the at-large portion. The SEC and B1G are almost assuredly going to get at least one more team in through the at-large section, maybe more.
The expanded Big 12 could secure a "de facto" auto bid in the "at-large" group. Meaning the Big 12 could receive two bids for 16 teams. Accordingly, your odds of making the playoffs are (1/8) rather than (1/10).
If the CFP award process changes, then those odds likely become more fixed or more favorable for an expanded Big 12.
Six of those go to the highest ranked conference champions. (ACC/Big 12/B1G/PAC/SEC/G5).
The other six bids are for at large teams (Notre Dame and others).
The odds of securing a automatic playoff bid for the PAC is (1/10) and Big 12 (1/12).
With expansion, the conferences can secure "de facto" autobids in the at-large portion. The SEC and B1G are almost assuredly going to get at least one more team in through the at-large section, maybe more.
The expanded Big 12 could secure a "de facto" auto bid in the "at-large" group. Meaning the Big 12 could receive two bids for 16 teams. Accordingly, your odds of making the playoffs are (1/8) rather than (1/10).
If the CFP award process changes, then those odds likely become more fixed or more favorable for an expanded Big 12.
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- Baylorbears11
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