2011
2 games vs. top 25 teams (Utah and Texas). BYU will lose 1 or 2 of those games.
2012
2 games vs. top 25 teams (at Utah and at Boise). BYU will likely lose 1 or 2 of those games.
2013
2 games vs. top 25 teams (Utah and Texas). BYU will lose 1 or 2 of those games.
How is this getting BYU in a BCS game? 2012 is the only shot - BYU could beat Utah and Boise in the same year. But it isn't like BYU will be favored in those games.
I am noticing one of the greatest benefits of Independence is never playing TCU ever, ever again.