You make some good arguments. A few things I don't agree on.
38 points? Yes they have an inexperienced secondary, but they have great athletes. I don't expect to see a lot of Mangum bombs connecting. Utah's defensive line will be one of the best in the country. Huntley was Florida's Gatorade Player of the year in Florida his Sr. year in high school. He's not your typical athlete. Hopefully, he'll play like Detmer did in his first game against Wyoming.
I'm hoping BYU wins a close one. I think it will be a low scoring game.