past couple seasons. I actually believe Toledo is a toss-up. Based on the fact that USU has a lot of players returning, especially with the skilled postions, and the fact they play in Logan, I think USU is probably a loss. USF actually scares me. They have something that causes trouble for BYU. Speed. So:

Probable Losses: Utah, Washington, USC, USU

Leaning Losses: USF

Toss-up: Boise St., Toledo, San Diego St. (If cougs lose to anyone of these teams will probably mean a 6-6 season.)

Leaning Wins: Tennessee

Probable Wins: UMass, Liberty, Idaho

BYU would have to win two of the toss-up games and beat Tennessee to win 6 games. I would say they can get a stretch goal and beat TN to wind up with 7 wins. 8-9 wins? I just don't see it.