I basically gave them 50% chance of winning when they played playoff teams and

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Jan 17, 2019
10:23:41am

Dillinger All-American

I basically gave them 50% chance of winning when they played playoff teams and

a 75% chance when playing non playoff teams. Thats how I came to 22 more wins. Pretty scientific.

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Dillinger

Previous username: kkf
Bio page: Dillinger
Joined: Feb 16, 2012
Last login: Aug 20, 2019
Total posts: 46,312 (19,941 FO)

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Messages

Author

Time

Just went through the rest of the Jazz schedule, I estimated 22 more wins so

Dillinger

1/17/19 10:16am

47 wins seems low.

OPINIONS

1/17/19 10:19am

ESPN projects 49 wins and a 3 seed. Of course the projection changes daily

BYU71

1/17/19 10:22am

I basically gave them 50% chance of winning when they played playoff teams and

Dillinger

1/17/19 10:23am

To be honest, I don't put anymore weight in ESPN projections over yours

BYU71

1/17/19 10:24am

Basically I think 22 wins should be the floor based on the remaining schedule.

Dillinger

1/17/19 10:28am

Way too hard to know exactly how many wins = what seed at the end of the

SandYFan

1/17/19 10:22am

A few teams will start dropping. Clippers are one of them. They are in a free

cougaman

1/17/19 10:28am

47 would be the 5 seed vs Houston, according to 538. FWIW, they have us with 49

rggee

1/17/19 10:53am

I was pretty conservative with 47. I think 50 - 51 is possible.

Dillinger

1/17/19 10:54am

Also, 538 has us at 49 wins...and still the 5 seed vs Houston. Again, FWIW.

rggee

1/17/19 10:54am

Not sure if Houston stays that high with Capela being out for so long. Obviously

Dillinger

1/17/19 10:55am

Sounds about right +- 5 wins

1/17/19 11:40am

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