the 3 gimmes are:
Liberty
IDSU
UMass

The maybes are:
USF (not a serious maybe but it is in the Eastern Time Zone)
Boise (we should win it)
USU (we flopped 2 yrs in a row and would hope our guys are mad as hornets and want some payback)
SDSU (it's in San Diego and they hate us)
Toledo (not a serious maybe but it's a road game and they can be explosive)

The first 4 games I think we'll be doing pretty good to win 1 out of the 4. Utah might be our best chance at a win in that group. Road game in SEC country inn front of 100K screaming fans doesn't sound very promising. Getting both USC and Wash in Provo helps but can we play with mental and physical toughness going toe for toe like we did vs Wisconsin last year or will we be intimidated and lay down like we did vs the Huskies in Seattle? I can't see us being tough in back to back games.

Going 3-0 vs the Gimmes, 3-2 vs the Maybes and 2-2 vs the first four games would leave us at 8-4 heading into a bowl game. I'd be pretty happy with that.