There's a decent chance San Diego State will be 11-1 and ranked in the top 15-20 by the time we play them. They're favored in their final 3 games: vs Nevada FPI 92.6% favorite, vs Fresno FPI 59.3% favorite, @ Hawaii FPI 55.1% favorite. I wouldn't be surprised at all by either Fresno or Hawaii beating them, but I also wouldn't be surprised if SDSU won all 3 of those games.

Funny thing is, I don't think they're anywhere near a top 20 team in reality. They've racked up a lot of wins against a soft schedule (Sagarin SOS 101). Their best win by far was at UCLA, who looked lost at the time but is playing good football in recent weeks (very similar to our Tennessee win).

Some of their questionable results against that soft schedule: Struggled against Weber State, winning 6-0. Lost to Utah State at home. Unimpressive performances against San Jose State and UNLV the last 2 weeks.

Moral of the story... we could have a chance at the end of the season to knock off a very beatable ranked team.