If you take their current "odds" to win each game they are currently projected to do the following against each "tier" of opponents in conference play (tiers are based upon the projected NET rankings and based on NCAA definitions).

Tier I (2-2 or 1-3)
@ Gonzaga
@ Saint Mary's
Gonzaga
@ San Francisco

Tier II (1-1 or 2-0)
Saint Mary's
@ Pacific

Tier III (7-1 or 6-2)
@ LMU
@ Pepperdine
San Francisco
@ San Diego
@ Portland
Santa Clara
LMU
Pepperdine

Tier IV (2-0)
San Diego
Portland

Those odds say that they are likely to have a slip-up against a Tier III opponent (their worst loss so far this year is Tier II). They could even possibly have 2 such slip-ups in conference play. However, odds would say they go 3-3 against the top of the conference and could even go 4-2. That should be plenty good enough for them to get into the NCAA tournament. If they end up doing something like 1-3 against Tier 1, 1-1 vs Tier 2, and only 6-2 vs Tier 3 then their case starts to look a bit more dicey and they may end up in the NIT short of a conference tourney run.