One post earlier, you completely dismiss any other team beating us if we beat SMC Tuesday. Yes we have a shot against Gonzaga and St Mairy's but San Francisco (41%), Pacific (27%), San Diego (20%), and Pepperdine (28%) have a pretty decent shot to knock us off. Statistics goes both ways.
Even if we win on Tuesday, going less than 13-3 is pretty easy to see. I'm not saying it's inevitable, but it's why you play the game. 🙂