Feb 11, 2020
8:16:19pm
8:16:19pm
For those at all interested in Coronavirus update
I work in public health and get daily updates from John Hopkins and CDC
Here’s the takeaway right now
1. John Hopkins latest surveillance seems to indicate that the peak has passed. We will now see a decrease in cases in China.
2. Death tolls are high in China because health care is overloaded. They are not prepared for an outbreak
3. Death rate outside of China is under 1%. With adequate health care this is not that virulent.
4. Everyone keeps mentioning that China is holding numbers. The data outside of China seems to show that they are not.
5. With it being a novel virus, it is still something to monitor closely
Carry on
Here’s the takeaway right now
1. John Hopkins latest surveillance seems to indicate that the peak has passed. We will now see a decrease in cases in China.
2. Death tolls are high in China because health care is overloaded. They are not prepared for an outbreak
3. Death rate outside of China is under 1%. With adequate health care this is not that virulent.
4. Everyone keeps mentioning that China is holding numbers. The data outside of China seems to show that they are not.
5. With it being a novel virus, it is still something to monitor closely
Carry on
Originally posted on Feb 11, 2020 at 8:16:19pm
Message modified by BYUheaven on Feb 11, 2020 at 8:20:10pm
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What's the latest from John Hopkins and the CDC on COVID-19? (scall, Feb 14, 2020 at 11:16am)
Messages
Time
2/11/20 8:26pm
2/11/20 8:29pm
2/11/20 8:23pm
2/11/20 8:25pm
That all seems reasonable and likely. But what’s nagging me is why is China being so crazy about it all.
2/11/20 8:49pm
2/11/20 8:58pm
2/11/20 10:58pm