will be correct. 200,000 confirmed Covid 19 cases will be surpassed before General Conference. My guess of 200,000-500,000 is also likely too low for April 15.

2/3 of the Poll answers predicted fewer than 100K by April 15.

This is an important indicator of how coronavirus has snuck up on us. Despite major behavioral changes, Americans have been blindsided by the number of infections.