400 isn’t a big number if that were the end of it

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Mar 27, 2020
8:24:06pm

TomPetty All-American

400 isn’t a big number if that were the end of it

It is 400 compared to a week a go and what that means for the weeks to come that will determine how big the number gets.

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TomPetty

New username: Great Wide Open
Bio page: TomPetty
Joined: Sep 7, 2003
Last login: Oct 13, 2021
Total posts: 0 (0 FO)

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Messages

Author

Time

400 new deaths sounds like a lot, but is it really? We live in a country of 320+

Nuke

3/27/20 7:59pm

Million not billion

cougarfann888

3/27/20 8:00pm

NUKE is a european. 😉

Boanerges

3/27/20 8:01pm

Nuke Laloosh???

3/27/20 8:03pm

This GIF has nothing to do with your post

Boanerges

3/27/20 8:12pm

I did serve my mission in Italy so....

Nuke

3/27/20 8:18pm

Haha oops I’m struggling lately.

Nuke

3/27/20 8:17pm

That’s Brian Williams level math.

scootsy

3/27/20 8:27pm

Or Uncle Joe.

Cougarmayn

3/27/20 8:52pm

There’s 320 billion people in the US?

3/27/20 8:00pm

Yeah pretty crazy huh.

Nuke

3/27/20 8:17pm

I am not taking a side on this, because I don't have the expertise, but yeah, 400 is a lot

Clark Addison

3/27/20 8:07pm

We can estimate the total deaths much better once it plateaus. Hopefully soon.

Taysom 4 Heisman

3/27/20 8:12pm

My friend, if that were all it was ever going to be, that would be one thing.

jkccoug

3/27/20 8:22pm

We need to get through April. Reality check time

Croweater

3/27/20 8:23pm

400 isn’t a big number if that were the end of it

TomPetty

3/27/20 8:24pm

RE: 400 isn’t a big number if that were the end of it

Armchaircoug

3/27/20 9:23pm

It is a lot and more is coming

kiyoshige

3/27/20 8:56pm

If we can maintain a plateau below a thousand for a couple months it's a win.

Taysom 4 Heisman

3/27/20 9:29pm

Worst case

kiyoshige

3/28/20 7:44am

Stop using number of cases. It’s useless data.

antiyewt

3/28/20 10:52am

At 2 deaths per 100,000

coolcats

3/28/20 11:01am

Correction 6,400 ... but still

coolcats

3/28/20 11:09am

I think an order of magnitude higher, but still not anywhere near the millions originally predicted.

antiyewt

3/28/20 11:12am

60000 is pretty close to my lower estimate of 100,000

kiyoshige

3/28/20 2:26pm

Google “exponential growth”

OCBYUGUY

3/27/20 10:22pm

It is a lot.

conetah

3/28/20 11:17am

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