No, I missed that last line. In any case, those extra deaths probably explain

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Mar 31, 2020
9:47:39am

chilango Intervention Needed

why the Lancet study estimated 0.7% rather than something lower.

This message has been modified

Originally posted on Mar 31, 2020 at 9:47:39am

Message modified by chilango on Mar 31, 2020 at 9:49:25am

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chilango

Bio page: chilango
Joined: Jul 23, 2009
Last login: Dec 27, 2020
Total posts: 25,771 (33 FO)

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Messages

Author

Time

Example of how easily COVID-19 is passed. 60 choir members attended 1 practice. 45 showed symptoms. 28 tested positive

Zenoch All-American

3/30/20 10:26pm

So what were the other 17 sick with?

Samsonite

3/30/20 10:29pm

It sounds like they weren’t tested, but presumed to have the virus.

chilango

3/30/20 10:33pm

RE: Example of how easily COVID-19 is passed. 60 choir members attended 1

rcbyufan

3/30/20 10:29pm

RE: Example of how easily COVID-19 is passed. 60 choir members attended 1

StarMan

3/30/20 10:30pm

<< Deleted >>

Buffalo

3/30/20 10:32pm

Counter-counter point: Patient #31's church brunch buffet.

More of a Jazz Fan

3/30/20 10:47pm

I assume the MoTab isn’t going to sing this weekend?

chilango

3/30/20 10:34pm

Already recorded I think

JuicyJam

3/30/20 10:36pm

I think the cruise ship is a good data point too - 3,700 people, population skews old. Stuck on the ship for 3

HarlemCoug

3/30/20 10:34pm

Diamond princess is the best estimate we have of the actual mortality rate from

Resurgens

3/31/20 12:30am

On the Diamond Princess the death rate is 1.4%, or 14x higher than the flu.

chilango

3/31/20 1:52am

But if you overlay age demographics onto USA population it drops to like <0.2%

ABCoug

3/31/20 7:01am

Source? Also, 15 people are still in critical condition; the rate may go up, but

chilango

3/31/20 7:31am

RE: Source? Also, 15 people are still in critical condition; the rate may go up,

ABCoug

3/31/20 8:10am

That is old data. They are now up to 10 deaths.

chilango

3/31/20 8:15am

Mmm... did you read what I wrote? Acknowledged in the post

ABCoug

3/31/20 8:45am

No, I missed that last line. In any case, those extra deaths probably explain

chilango

3/31/20 9:47am

Which is why it's ridiculous that people on CB keep asking "why is this worse

Resurgens

3/31/20 8:49am

Skews old? Don't forget the crew, most of whom "skews" young.

CougarThug

3/31/20 1:30am

I'm a little skeptical of their characterization of the practice

jpesk2

3/30/20 10:43pm

I'd like to be a fly on the wall and see how members interacted before...

So it goes...

3/30/20 10:49pm

There was tray full of mandarin oranges they provided. It wasn't as sanitary as

777

3/30/20 11:01pm

lots of places I'd want to be a fly on the wall - watching a bunch of old-timers at choir practice just barely missed

HarlemCoug

3/30/20 11:07pm

Oh, not much was going on. But the potato salad was good.

flyonawall

3/31/20 12:32am

Did they all share a meal or food or drink together? Did they drink from the

DJROSS

3/31/20 6:47am

And maybe they were having practices before the March 10 practice and passing it

Coach's Dad

3/30/20 10:56pm

They ar a choir ! Belting out air at large volume and suckin it iforcefully

CarolinaCoug

3/31/20 1:09am

The theory is the forceful singing aerosolized the virus.

DrJazzy

3/30/20 10:56pm

This seems like it would also take place in a gym with people breathing heavily.

ryebrye

3/31/20 5:15am

Unless you are grunting and heavily vocalizing during your workout....

DrJazzy

3/31/20 10:12am

Is it possible that this group of people interacted a lot outside of this?

4mack

3/30/20 10:57pm

They set up chairs, they took down chairs, they ate mandarin oranges provided

777

3/30/20 11:03pm

They conveniently left out the part that they played naked twister. Figures.

cougarblue

3/30/20 11:06pm

They passed around the nasal balm to clear sinuses.

PJMort

3/31/20 12:24am

I just heard about this today. Singing definitely produces a lot of droplets

Resurgens

3/31/20 12:28am

And yet, Ben Adams, who ended up hospitalized, was with his family for many days

toadie

3/31/20 3:37am

The two that died were in their 80s...this just confirms what we already know

Jingleheimer

3/31/20 5:58am

It's so easy to pass that if you get 60 people, stand them next to each other

Harbinger

3/31/20 6:52am

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