3-day rolling average daily growth rate in deaths will likely

Apr 2, 2020
3:09:55pm

jkccoug Intervention Needed

= 29%-32% by this evening. If it stays at that level you could have 4000 dying per day by next Wednesday. I don't think that will happen but I think the peak (projected by the CDC around April 15) will be something like 3500-4000 daily deaths.

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jkccoug

New username: Socrates Johnson
Bio page: jkccoug
Joined: Jul 19, 2002
Last login: Oct 13, 2021
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Messages

Author

Time

705 dead so far today. Tracking for 1150-1250 by days end.

jkccoug

4/2/20 2:46pm

Stop the fear mongering.

Lip Gallagher

4/2/20 2:51pm

Just the facts. No one should be afraid of the facts. Have a great day!

jkccoug

4/2/20 2:57pm

I don't see you ever reporting the positive facts. Why? They're facts too.

Lip Gallagher

4/2/20 3:04pm

They’re just helping people face facts and reality because we don’t

franklyvulgar

4/2/20 3:07pm

And both of them are now laughing at taking a different approach.

Lip Gallagher

4/2/20 3:11pm

I've posted a lot of optimism-- tons of it in fact. (links).

jkccoug

4/2/20 3:16pm

Nobody is posting daily counts of flu deaths. Those are facts too.

zerigke

4/2/20 3:39pm

Excellent point. If one doesn't post all facts, one ought not post any.

jkccoug

4/2/20 3:54pm

That's why this is fear mongering.

zerigke

4/2/20 4:06pm

RE: That's why this is fear mongering.

jkccoug

4/2/20 4:21pm

Facts ≠ Fear Mongering

coolcats

4/2/20 2:58pm

Don't most states report once per day?

Busiturtle

4/2/20 3:01pm

I believe JKCoug has tracked average increases from 2 p.m. MDT

coolcats

4/2/20 3:14pm

This is correct.

jkccoug

4/2/20 3:23pm

What a fun and fascinating hobby.

TheWoodman

4/2/20 3:28pm

You too. You're one of them. It has nothing to do with "facts."

Lip Gallagher

4/2/20 3:02pm

You really think people don’t understand its bad without you posting

franklyvulgar

4/2/20 3:04pm

Eh hem...

Lip Gallagher

4/2/20 3:13pm

At this point, literally nothing will convince you it's a bad situation

coolcats

4/2/20 3:19pm

Sorry but who here suggested that? Name one thing that's actually given

Lip Gallagher

4/2/20 3:36pm

You should really just let this go. No one's being hurt here.

jkccoug

4/2/20 3:54pm

RE: Sorry but who here suggested that? Name one thing that's actually given

coolcats

4/2/20 4:07pm

Haha you caught me opposing your leader. So THAT'S why you're upset.

Lip Gallagher

4/2/20 4:15pm

RE: Haha you caught me opposing your leader. So THAT'S why you're upset.

jkccoug

4/2/20 4:22pm

RE: Haha you caught me opposing your leader. So THAT'S why you're upset.

Lip Gallagher

4/2/20 4:28pm

It’s hard to read emotion on the Internet

coolcats

4/2/20 4:22pm

ahem

jkccoug

4/2/20 3:20pm

Also, awareness ≠ fear. I want people to be aware. Not afraid.

jkccoug

4/2/20 3:23pm

Riiiight. We're all aware man. Who isn't? It's everywhere. You're just excessive

Lip Gallagher

4/2/20 3:30pm

Feel free to ignore me, or my posts. I certainly don't want to annoy anyone.

jkccoug

4/2/20 3:34pm

Yes we have deaths. What does it mean in the predictions?

Archaea

4/2/20 3:00pm

3-day rolling average daily growth rate in deaths will likely

jkccoug

4/2/20 3:09pm

Are we doubling every three days or not? As long as that is happening

Archaea

4/2/20 3:11pm

Do you have sources outside of CB posts estimating the 8 million dead?

coolcats

4/2/20 3:13pm

Here is a article stating their own people don't believe it.

Blue for Life

4/2/20 3:21pm

Here are some other sources:

Archaea

4/2/20 3:44pm

Right now, not quite, but very close. 3.5 days or so.

jkccoug

4/2/20 3:19pm

Hopefully it peaks within the next week or so. My guess is we stay under 2,000

Odysseus

4/2/20 3:04pm

I doubt it stops there but it might. The midpoint projection from the presser

jkccoug

4/2/20 3:23pm

It is amazing to me that people watch this multiple times a day.

Blue for Life

4/2/20 3:14pm

No sports right now, so it's a good replacement for some with the "scoreboard"

monteburns

4/2/20 3:20pm

The UW study has updated his numbers. Slightly higher projections.

Joe Banks

4/2/20 3:18pm

I'm surprised Vegas hasn't put betting lines on it yet

LeonMarek

4/2/20 3:23pm

I am sure in some weird sites that is available.

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