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Aug 12, 2020
11:12
:27
pm
El Careeb
Professor Smarty-Pants
That's what I thought too.
I just looked it up and that applies to the Monty Hall scenario but not Deal or No Deal because Monty knows what's behind the door and affects the outcome whereas there is nobody affecting the outcome in Deal or No Deal.
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El Careeb
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elcareeb
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El Careeb
Joined
Jul 20, 2005
Last login
Apr 27, 2024
Total posts
17,870 (3,466 FO)
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Messages
Author
Time
Deal or No Deal. You have the choice between million case or the .01 case.
Adwight
8/12/20 11:02pm
When I originally chose, how many did I choose from?
Dr MoBYU
8/12/20 11:04pm
30 cases.
Adwight
8/12/20 11:05pm
You switch. Here’s why:
Dr MoBYU
8/12/20 11:08pm
That's what I thought too.
El Careeb
8/12/20 11:12pm
Huh? There's 1/2 chance for both cases.
agentx
8/12/20 11:31pm
RE: You switch. Here’s why:
scootsy
8/13/20 6:49am
It doesn't matter because your odds are the same either way.
Pimpin4Paradise
8/12/20 11:05pm
Yep. The difference between this and the Monty Hall problem is that you are
cougarfan84
8/12/20 11:08pm
Switch
El Careeb
8/12/20 11:06pm
Nevermind. I'm wrong.
El Careeb
8/12/20 11:14pm
Keep it. Odds are the same and I'd be more mad at myself if I switched when I
Manti
8/12/20 11:06pm
Neither. Too risky at those extremes. Take the bank offer.
Parkercoug82
8/12/20 11:14pm
He literally said "no taking the deal" in this hypothetical situation.
Manti
8/12/20 11:21pm
'Tis the Monty Hall season 2020
Y2010
8/12/20 11:21pm
Haha sorry, just watched an episode of Deal or No Deal. I would switch myself.
Adwight
8/12/20 11:25pm
But you selected the other 28 cases to be removed too. This wasn't a host
Manti
8/12/20 11:27pm
I know that. But do I trust myself in the beginning to have picked the 1/30?
Adwight
8/12/20 11:28pm
I'd be so much more mad at myself for switching when I had originally picked
Manti
8/12/20 11:30pm
I know. Which is why I would switch and probably end up with the penny.
Adwight
8/12/20 11:31pm
“I came here for the million Howie! No Deal!”
ballen
8/12/20 11:59pm
After watching a lot of those "big money" shows over the years, I came to the
fredgarvin
8/13/20 12:47am
<< Deleted >>
GRCoug
8/13/20 1:08am
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