Their overall record is way better than one would expect playing against several Sun-Celt, CUSA and AAC programs. The final SOS should improve too because BSU and SDSU are probably heavy favorites in the MWC. Tx State is the outlier at 1-5, but its schedule gets easier now. Adding Army and either Liberty or Marshall would add more than a dozen+ net wins against very few losses. It's quite possible for BYU's actual SOS to continue rising well above .500 by Bowl Assignment Day.