This is why it is so hard to put too much stock in recruiting stars
Ty Jones was one of, if not the most sought after WR for BYU in the 2017 class. He was a top 250 prospect. Dax Milne was not a top 200 WR prospect in the country. Dax didn't get a D-1 scholarship offer and Ty could have gone to a number of prestigious Universities and did so.
Three years later one is heading to the NFL and one is in the transfer portal.
Now don't get me wrong, if Ty Jones transfesr to a place like BYU and has a ton of success he certainly could have an NFL career.
And yes I know the higher rated players on average tend to be better. But these types of examples happen a whole lot more than you would think. Just ask Brady Christiansen.