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Jan 18, 2021
11:10:12am
LEDSFW All-American
True. Ball security in the NFL is huge. A Fumble lost costs a team an....
...estimated half a loss. With the average NFL team grossing around $500 million a year and playing at least one playoff game, the average revenue per game is $29.5 million per game and that nets out to about $14.75 million for each half a win. If you assume that your team loses 1 fumble/game in a season, you lose enough games to be well under the average.



It looks like the worst teams net around $30 million less than the average teams. So a loss truly results in about $2-3 million in lost revenue. Every two fumbles LOST leads to a game loss on average. Therefore the average fumble costs a team owner about $1-1.5 million. Taysom Hill was the third worst ball handler in the league this year, fumbling 10 times. More important, his fumbles per ball handling opportunities was off the charts #1.

Of his 10 fumbles, the Saints lost 5 of them. If you consider that in terms of Revenue lost, its $5-7.5 million, and while the reality of that may not be true (only) because the Saints were good enough to win games lesser teams would have lost; the fact is the statistical inference for all players is very real. Actually, the Saints did earn about $31 million LESS than average even being one of the best teams. So a fumble at NO is far more costly than a fumble for a lot of bad teams. Taysom has a real problem with respect to ball handling and it will cost him long term if he doesn't fix it this next season, should he find a place to work next season.
This message has been modified
Originally posted on Jan 18, 2021 at 11:10:12am
Message modified by LEDSFW on Jan 18, 2021 at 11:12:45am
LEDSFW
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LEDSFW
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