What did the advanced metrics/Vegas lines say SHOULD have been our record?

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Jan 28, 2021
3:50:42pm

jkccoug Truly Addicted User

How does that compare to how we do based on the advanced lines/Vegas spreads overall?

This message has been modified

Originally posted on Jan 28, 2021 at 3:50:42pm

Message modified by jkccoug on Jan 28, 2021 at 3:50:55pm

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jkccoug

New username: Socrates Johnson
Bio page: jkccoug
Joined: Jul 19, 2002
Last login: Oct 13, 2021
Total posts: 0 (0 FO)

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Messages

Author

Time

Posted without comment.

Niiineteeen84

1/27/21 8:09pm

What other games has he officiated?

ldssdl

1/27/21 8:25pm

He allowed SDSU to tackle Tyler Haws at the end of regulation in Maui a few years back.

slatecoug

1/27/21 10:51pm

I knew we were in big trouble when I saw him

aaronmania

1/27/21 8:39pm

Seems like data should be available on this. Anyone know where it could be found to prove/disprove this hypothesis?

Greg Kite's 'stache

1/27/21 9:08pm

This! Someone who likes spending time on this crap make it happen!

ColonelMustard

1/28/21 4:03pm

Here's the data:

Elvis

1/27/21 9:30pm

Source?

ldssdl

1/27/21 9:37pm

Well, that would seem to indicate that the assertion made isn't accurate. Funny what happens when you use actual data.

Greg Kite's 'stache

1/27/21 9:57pm

Except all you have to do is go back and watch the end of the game against SDSU in Maui

slatecoug

1/27/21 10:54pm

The statement by Jay Drew is “I can't remember a game that Randy McCall officiated that BYU won”

Greg Kite's 'stache

1/27/21 11:19pm

There's nothing wrong with Drew's statement. He didn't say "in the research I'v

wiscougarfan

1/28/21 6:31am

it's not a definitive rejection of Drew's assertion. He said "I can't recall..."

icecougar

1/28/21 12:11pm

That's because McCall has had some really bad late game officiating performances in games BYU has played.

slatecoug

1/28/21 2:25pm

Good take. Just because byu has won 50% means nothing. It’s not like a ref can

ColonelMustard

1/28/21 4:05pm

So Drew's statement was about his poor memory, not about biased officiating.

ptcougr

1/28/21 4:23am

However, those stats DO suggest it makes a negative difference when he refs.

jkccoug

1/28/21 3:58pm

What did the advanced metrics/Vegas lines say SHOULD have been our record?

jkccoug

1/28/21 3:50pm

Our overall win % during that timeframe is 68%. But only 53% with that ref, so

jkccoug

1/28/21 3:56pm

Just because byu has won with him on the floor means nothing

ColonelMustard

1/28/21 4:07pm

Seems like our record in close games with him reffing would be more telling.

byuinva

1/28/21 4:18pm

I went back and looked up game reports...

Elvis

1/27/21 10:25pm

that one series near the end where they had over the back, a charge, was

bald man

1/28/21 5:20am

Would be fun to get the advanced metrics and point spreads and compare BYU's

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