I think Lohner is the best NBA prospect BYU has had in many, many years (including Yoeli and Jimmer). He's quite a bit more athletic than either of those guys and appears to be totally willing to defend and board with max effort.
That said, I think he still needs to do quite a bit of developing in order to get there, so I'd put the odds of him sticking in the NBA at maybe 30%. He's gotta prove that he's mentally tough enough to make it and his offensive skills need to keep improving, of course.