1) I think our performance in the tournament depends largely on the play of three players: Lohner, Knight, and George. Lucas/Barcello are solid and relatively consistent. Fouss and Atiki are young but growing. The other three are athletic freaks who, when on, completely change the complexion of the team. When off, we struggle.
2) I think the number of grind-it-out games we have experienced will help us in the tournament. Many of the games we have played have been very physical, teams bumping us. The games have felt tourney-ish.
All that to say that I am not sure that we will win a game, but we have the pieces to win a game or two if things fall into place, IMO.