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Aug 9, 2022
5:51:07pm
mvtoro Scrub
👆🏻YES! Because preseason polls actually affect ranking throughout the year, the problem is even bigger than it appears:
…and both ways:

With identical seasons and performance, a preseason unranked team is more likely to be unranked at the end of the season and not make this list even though they were underrated… *because* they were underrated.

An overrated preseason team is more likely to still appear in the final rankings. As you said with USC.

In short:

-Preseason rankings are a somewhat-self-fulfilling prophecy as they inherently create final ranking bias toward their preseason choices.
-So this list only shows mistakes large enough to also overcome that bias.
-So the problem of misranking for and against those teams at the extremes is even bigger than what is shown here.
This message has been modified
Originally posted on Aug 9, 2022 at 5:51:07pm
Message modified by mvtoro on Aug 9, 2022 at 5:51:35pm
Message modified by mvtoro on Aug 9, 2022 at 5:52:02pm
mvtoro
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mvtoro
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