For me, there's 7 categories

Tier 1: Clear, young stud QBs to build around long term (6)

• Bills (Josh Allen)
• Chargers (Justin Herbert)
• Bengals (Joe Burrow)
• Chiefs (Patrick Mahomes)
• Browns (Deshaun Watson) *on-field only
• Ravens (Lamar Jackson)

Tier 2: No doubt franchise QBs, but age is a concern (5)

• Bucs (Brady)
• Packers (Rodgers)
• Rams (Stafford)
• Broncos (R Wilson)
• Raiders (Carr) — he shouldn't really be in this tier, but he's an enigma in that he's almost exactly between all of Tiers 1, 2, 3, and 4

Tier 3: Young guy who we're almost certain ... Well, pretty certain that he is a franchise QB (2)

• Cardinals (Kyler)
• Cowboys (Dak)

Tier 4: Alex Smith and Andy Dalton types that we give the big money and build around, but really we secretly (or not so secretly) want more (2)

• Vikings (Kirk Cousins)
• Titans (Ryan Tannehill)

Tier 5: Young QBs figuring out if they're franchise QBs (11) (some of these are in danger of upgrading to Tier 3, others will end up with their team in Tier 7)

• Eagles (Jalen Hurts)
• Dolphins (Tua)
• Jags (Lawrence)
• Jets (Z Wilson)
• 49ers (Lance)
• Bears (Fields)
• Patriots (Jones)
• Texans (Mills)
• Steelers (Pickett)
• Falcons (Ridder)
• Titans (Willis)

Tier 6: Adequate stopgap vet, but currently it's a bridge to nowhere (3) (functionally this category is close to Tier 4.  But the young guns generally fall in between the two)

• Saints (Jameis Winston)
• Lions (Jared Goff)
• 49ers (Jimmy Garoppolo)

Tier 7: No answers now, but also no long-term hopes (5)

• Commanders (Carson Wentz)
• Seahawks (Drew Lock)
• Colts (Matt Ryan)
• Giants (Daniel Jones)
• Panthers (Baker Mayfield / Sam Darnold)

I'd say anyone in the top 3 tiers is a franchise guy so I get 13