I know that Tokolosh did. But I'm also pretty clearly not him

Here's the important thing to recognize about me. I've never claimed to have inside info (and likely never will have any). I break down stats and data. Sometimes they tell a story we like, sometimes they don't.

I've made several arguments against the PAC...and also several pointing out that the PAC (and/or Utah) is stronger than than many on this board claim/believe. People like the former, they get in an uproar over the latter. But it's all just interesting data points to me. Because I'd rather have an accurate assessment of reality than wear blue-colored glasses.*

What actually ends up happening in realignment certainly relies on that data... but also on the human element and connections and timing that I have no insight into. Would I be shocked if the PAC fell apart? Absolutely not. Would I be shocked if they stayed together? Also no.

Bottom line, I'm not in the prediction business - specifically because I know I don't have enough inside information to make good predictions


*An interesting example of this is people claiming BYU is always seeded lower (in the NCAA tournament) than expected or that BYU players are always drafted lower than expected. Statistically, that's not true. On average, we end up right in line with predictions. But we don't end up in line with the specific predictions shared and amplified on this board. Because we constantly share the mock drafts that have Blake Freeland going in the first or early second round. But nobody shares the ones that have him as a 4th or even 5th rounder. And so then when he goes in the 3rd we view it as a huge drop... Instead of right around the average predicted draft slot for him