Awesome. Thanks... I'm not optimistic about our chances tomorrow now.

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Oct 19, 2016
2:09:16pm

Tom Trails Contributor

Capable of winning. But odds are against it.

BSU should win about 31-21.

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Tom Trails

New username: Fifty Shades of Blue
Bio page: Tom Trails
Joined: Dec 21, 2008
Last login: Feb 6, 2018
Total posts: 0 (0 FO)

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Messages

Author

Time

BYU and Boise State by the Numbers

Random Walk

10/19/16 8:15am

Great post. Do these rankings account for strength of schedule at all?

kccougar

10/19/16 8:20am

They do. They're S&P+ rankings. Adjusted for opponent and context.

Random Walk

10/19/16 8:21am

Thanks.

kccougar

10/19/16 8:21am

Have you looked at these numbers retrospectively for previous opponents?

Tom Trails

10/19/16 12:40pm

Check out the linked thread.

Random Walk

10/19/16 12:44pm

Awesome. Thanks... I'm not optimistic about our chances tomorrow now.

Tom Trails

10/19/16 2:09pm

So, you're saying we have a chance.....?

rockhound

10/19/16 8:22am

Can you explain offensive and defensive "Field Position" to me? Is this how far

Revolution

10/19/16 8:23am

It's based on where drives start.

Random Walk

10/19/16 8:27am

Please explain the BSU offense being likely to turn over the ball.

Dread Pirate Westley

10/19/16 8:27am

It's turnover margin. Based on opponent, BYU is expected to be at +1.75, but

Random Walk

10/19/16 8:29am

That makes sense. BSU's defense has not generated a lot of turnovers this year.

Dread Pirate Westley

10/19/16 8:38am

I was going to mention field position, but it doesn't really matter since

Random Walk

10/19/16 8:42am

<< Deleted >>

East1999

10/19/16 8:33am

Their rush defense has been suspect the last two games. See my post from

dallasbyu

10/19/16 8:41am

Raw yardage is a very noisy measure. You need context.

Random Walk

10/19/16 8:46am

I watched a lot of the CSU game and saw the CSU line opening up big holes. Yes

dallasbyu

10/19/16 8:48am

I didn't see the CSU game, so that is encouraging. If BYU can get SOMETHING on

Random Walk

10/19/16 8:51am

I agree. The gameplan needs to be long sustained drives using the run taking

dallasbyu

10/19/16 8:53am

<< Deleted >>

kunarcougar

10/19/16 8:48am

Side by side: BYU and Boise State by the Numbers

BYUFam1

10/19/16 8:51am

We might have to have to win the turnover battle to beat them

okieboy

10/19/16 8:51am

Havoc is a fun measurable...

Florwood

10/19/16 8:52am

To win we'll have to grind out a ground game to keep the ball away from BSU

Deadpool

10/19/16 8:58am

BSU is not going to be as tough as we all think. People are acting like they

idacoug

10/19/16 9:26am

It will be a close game

Jericho

10/19/16 9:30am

All our games are close games

Cougarclaw

10/19/16 9:34am

We haven't played many cupcakes yet this year

Jericho

10/19/16 12:18pm

I think it's going to be right on par with UCLA, WVU, and Miss. State.

Random Walk

10/19/16 9:44am

RE: BYU and Boise State by the Numbers

BSUJackson

10/19/16 9:34am

We have good linebackers, but the DL has been underwhelming.

Random Walk

10/19/16 9:43am

Interesting to get a BSU fan's perspective. It should be a good game tomorrow.

dilbert

10/19/16 9:44am

Well we don't get pressure on anyone so Rypien will not have any laundry to do.

Ash

10/19/16 10:04am

One other Varible, BSU has a lot more to play for. BYU is playing for pride, BSU

byucougarsbig12

10/19/16 10:05am

Random Walk, you are my kind of analyst. Huge thumbs up!

Juiceman

10/19/16 10:26am

This is amazing analysis. I'd love it if this report came weekly

MaxxPower

10/19/16 10:27am

"Boise is going to be a tough game"

icecougar

10/19/16 5:00pm

"On passing downs, BYU's defense is terrible (#100)"

icecougar

10/19/16 5:07pm

Boise St running the ball...it could get ugly

icecougar

10/19/16 6:55pm

You're right it could. Boise has given up 566 yards rushing last two weeks. BYU could make it ugly by running.

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