That essentially he will never improve as a coach, in hiring, etc.? I hear this a lot on CB and I wonder why people are so sure of this.

Coaches improve and change all the time, after many mediocre years in the business. Steve Sarkisian was a slightly better than mediocre head coach at UW and arguably worse at USC, where he imploded and lost everything. But he just took a historically underperforming Texas team to the Playoffs and his coaching is widely respected now—basically for the first time ever (in terms of head coaching performance, not as an OC). He began his head coaching career in 2009 and was 34-29 in five seasons at UW.

Lane Kiffin has not really had a successful stretch as a head coach before his current one at Ole Miss. He has been remarkably mediocre, and gotten fired a couple times. Yet he has something going in Oxford that now has him in the list of elite coaches again.

Even the mighty Nick Saban — pretty clearly the GOAT college coach— was 34-24-1 at Michigan State with three bowl losses. That’s ok at best—similar to Kalani’s current 61-41 record. He had a great record at LSU then spectacularly flamed out in the NFL before going 2-6 his first season at Alabama and then beginning the historic run we all remember him for.

So why are we so very certain that “if Kalani was going to figure it out, he would have by now,” and thus that he can be safely discarded?

What is the evidence for the proposition that there exists a certain window within which a head coach must reach good/greatness or he never will? And if that is true, what then is the evidence for the proposition that Kalani has passed that point already?

I’ve given three examples and I could give many many more. What is it you guys who disagree are seeing that convinces you there is no longer any hope of improvement?