Is supply not more constrained now? Is money printing not increasing at a quantum rate all over the globe? If Bitcoin really does work, and it has the potential to, these things are bullish for BTC. That is the if. It's a speculation, but the network effects are stronger now and it has potential to really disrupt payments.

The former top is resistance, I agree. I use charts for short term trading, and I'm saying I understand what you are saying. There are other technical correlations such as M2 money supply and volume which say it really is different this time. There are differences.