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Nov 29, 2021
9:45
:22
pm
nephicoug
All-American
They'd have 3 Ls with their loss to TCU being WAY worse than our loss to Boise
TCU is 83rd on FEI and Boise State is 18th.
TCU is 82nd on S&P+ and Boise State is 44th
This message has been modified
Originally posted on Nov 29, 2021 at 9:45:22pm
Message modified by nephicoug on Nov 29, 2021 at 9:46:04pm
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nephicoug
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nephicoug
Joined
Mar 12, 2005
Last login
Jun 10, 2024
Total posts
19,316 (12 FO)
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Messages
Author
Time
Could this work out:
nephicoug
11/29/21 9:41pm
No Baylor beat BYU too comfortably for BYU to get in ahead of them
PortlandCoug
11/29/21 9:42pm
They'd have 3 Ls with their loss to TCU being WAY worse than our loss to Boise
nephicoug
11/29/21 9:45pm
Head to head has to mean something
PortlandCoug
11/29/21 9:51pm
It matters until it doesn’t. They ranked Michigan ahead of MSU a week after they
TerpCoug
11/29/21 9:57pm
4 point loss on the road is different than being down 38-17
PortlandCoug
11/29/21 10:10pm
I think it means something if both teams have 2 losses
nephicoug
11/29/21 10:05pm
If the roles were reversed you would be saying the opposite…
PortlandCoug
11/29/21 10:23pm
Once Baylor has more losses than BYU, then head to head becomes less relevant.
Armchaircoug
11/29/21 10:33pm
But if that 3rd loss is a conference championshio to a top 10 team then
PortlandCoug
11/30/21 1:18am
True, but you can’t ignore the TCU loss… it’s still there and still bad
Pretorian
11/30/21 5:51am
So is the Boise loss.
FieroCoug
11/30/21 7:26am
Not NEARLY as bad as the TCU loss. They’re ranked in the 80s
nephicoug
11/30/21 9:46am
It only means something with the same record
Pretorian
11/30/21 5:49am
Sadly I agree.
Blue chunks
11/29/21 11:33pm
They would have 3 losses we only have two, head to head loses significance then
Pretorian
11/30/21 5:49am
I doubt the committee punishes them that much for losing to OSU away from home…unless they get destroyed like 54-13
rainorsnow
11/30/21 6:11am
But what about TCU? the only reason they were in front of us is due to the head
Pretorian
11/30/21 7:10am
The thing to remember re Baylor- they’re loss to tcu only dropped them 1 spot
1984coug
11/30/21 7:36am
That’s exactly how it would have to happen for us to have a chance
Tuskaloosa Cougar
11/29/21 9:45pm
We want Okie State to win but not get into the CFP
RenoCoug
11/29/21 9:49pm
Yep, that's in there with OSU getting the autobid but they only miss the playoff
nephicoug
11/29/21 10:04pm
Baylor would have to get destroyed, which is possible since their QB is out and the backup has to face the Cowboy D
runningryan
11/29/21 10:02pm
The committee could find a way to screw Okie State by putting ND ahead of them.
runningryan
11/29/21 10:04pm
Why do you need Utah to beat Oregon in this scenario?
cougaman
11/29/21 10:31pm
I think PAC-12 is a one horse conference.
Armchaircoug
11/29/21 10:34pm
Exactly, which is why it's interesting that he chose Utah to win in this
cougaman
11/29/21 10:38pm
Agreed, it won't make a difference who wins P-12 championship - only one gets in
Armchaircoug
11/29/21 10:43pm
It gives BYU a win against a P5 champ, and every little bit helps.
Skipshot
11/29/21 10:46pm
Honestly, a lot else has to go right for us to get in - but I don't think we end ahead of Oklahoma UNLESS Utah wins
krindorr
11/29/21 11:32pm
Yep. If we aren’t ahead of Oklahoma tonight. No reason to root for Utah
Tuskaloosa Cougar
11/30/21 7:26am
Everyone seems to think it's done if we're behind Oklahoma tonight. I'm not so sure
krindorr
11/30/21 8:00am
I can appreciate what you are saying for sure. If we only knew what they valued
Tuskaloosa Cougar
11/30/21 9:40am
Yeah, the general opaqueness of the process sucks - no doubt
krindorr
11/30/21 10:39am
Our win over Utah is a big reason
kosmokramer
11/29/21 11:41pm
Agreed. Utah beating Oregon a 2nd time doesn’t guarantee Oregon drops behind us.
Ned Schneebly
11/30/21 11:05am
All this is assuming they put Oklahoma behind us tomorrow. Plus I read somwhere
Dat_rmishner
11/29/21 11:20pm
Could absolutely work out... ends up being about a 2.9% chance
krindorr
11/29/21 11:32pm
Except, I think Bama needs to beat UGA for this to happen to put 2 SEC teams in
nephicoug
11/30/21 12:11am
Correct, that's what it should be
krindorr
11/30/21 12:26am
It doesn’t matter whether Utah or Oregon win because the one that does win
travelcoug
11/30/21 1:24am
It strengthens our SOS to have a win over a conference champ
nephicoug
11/30/21 9:47am
Auto bids go to the four highest ranked conference champions, not the highest
ptcougr
11/30/21 3:55am
If said conference champion is in the playoff, the next highest ranked team in
Blue Ridge
11/30/21 5:17am
One of the many proble4ms with the current system is that the 'rules' are so
ptcougr
11/30/21 7:55am
Playoff teams don’t count as auto bids except the G5 autobid
nephicoug
11/30/21 7:11am
How does 2 teams get the PAC bid, one of them not even in conference?
Blue for Life
11/30/21 5:25am
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