They'd have 3 Ls with their loss to TCU being WAY worse than our loss to Boise

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Nov 29, 2021
9:45:22pm

nephicoug All-American

TCU is 83rd on FEI and Boise State is 18th.

TCU is 82nd on S&P+ and Boise State is 44th

This message has been modified

Originally posted on Nov 29, 2021 at 9:45:22pm

Message modified by nephicoug on Nov 29, 2021 at 9:46:04pm

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nephicoug

Bio page: nephicoug
Joined: Mar 12, 2005
Last login: May 6, 2024
Total posts: 19,239 (10 FO)

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Messages

Author

Time

Could this work out:

nephicoug

11/29/21 9:41pm

No Baylor beat BYU too comfortably for BYU to get in ahead of them

PortlandCoug

11/29/21 9:42pm

They'd have 3 Ls with their loss to TCU being WAY worse than our loss to Boise

nephicoug

11/29/21 9:45pm

Head to head has to mean something

PortlandCoug

11/29/21 9:51pm

It matters until it doesn’t. They ranked Michigan ahead of MSU a week after they

TerpCoug

11/29/21 9:57pm

4 point loss on the road is different than being down 38-17

PortlandCoug

11/29/21 10:10pm

I think it means something if both teams have 2 losses

nephicoug

11/29/21 10:05pm

If the roles were reversed you would be saying the opposite…

PortlandCoug

11/29/21 10:23pm

Once Baylor has more losses than BYU, then head to head becomes less relevant.

Armchaircoug

11/29/21 10:33pm

But if that 3rd loss is a conference championshio to a top 10 team then

PortlandCoug

11/30/21 1:18am

True, but you can’t ignore the TCU loss… it’s still there and still bad

Pretorian

11/30/21 5:51am

So is the Boise loss.

FieroCoug

11/30/21 7:26am

Not NEARLY as bad as the TCU loss. They’re ranked in the 80s

nephicoug

11/30/21 9:46am

It only means something with the same record

Pretorian

11/30/21 5:49am

Sadly I agree.

Blue chunks

11/29/21 11:33pm

They would have 3 losses we only have two, head to head loses significance then

Pretorian

11/30/21 5:49am

I doubt the committee punishes them that much for losing to OSU away from home…unless they get destroyed like 54-13

rainorsnow

11/30/21 6:11am

But what about TCU? the only reason they were in front of us is due to the head

Pretorian

11/30/21 7:10am

The thing to remember re Baylor- they’re loss to tcu only dropped them 1 spot

1984coug

11/30/21 7:36am

That’s exactly how it would have to happen for us to have a chance

Tuskaloosa Cougar

11/29/21 9:45pm

We want Okie State to win but not get into the CFP

RenoCoug

11/29/21 9:49pm

Yep, that's in there with OSU getting the autobid but they only miss the playoff

nephicoug

11/29/21 10:04pm

Baylor would have to get destroyed, which is possible since their QB is out and the backup has to face the Cowboy D

runningryan

11/29/21 10:02pm

The committee could find a way to screw Okie State by putting ND ahead of them.

runningryan

11/29/21 10:04pm

Why do you need Utah to beat Oregon in this scenario?

cougaman

11/29/21 10:31pm

I think PAC-12 is a one horse conference.

Armchaircoug

11/29/21 10:34pm

Exactly, which is why it's interesting that he chose Utah to win in this

cougaman

11/29/21 10:38pm

Agreed, it won't make a difference who wins P-12 championship - only one gets in

Armchaircoug

11/29/21 10:43pm

It gives BYU a win against a P5 champ, and every little bit helps.

Skipshot

11/29/21 10:46pm

Honestly, a lot else has to go right for us to get in - but I don't think we end ahead of Oklahoma UNLESS Utah wins

krindorr

11/29/21 11:32pm

Yep. If we aren’t ahead of Oklahoma tonight. No reason to root for Utah

Tuskaloosa Cougar

11/30/21 7:26am

Everyone seems to think it's done if we're behind Oklahoma tonight. I'm not so sure

krindorr

11/30/21 8:00am

I can appreciate what you are saying for sure. If we only knew what they valued

Tuskaloosa Cougar

11/30/21 9:40am

Yeah, the general opaqueness of the process sucks - no doubt

krindorr

11/30/21 10:39am

Our win over Utah is a big reason

kosmokramer

11/29/21 11:41pm

Agreed. Utah beating Oregon a 2nd time doesn’t guarantee Oregon drops behind us.

Ned Schneebly

11/30/21 11:05am

All this is assuming they put Oklahoma behind us tomorrow. Plus I read somwhere

Dat_rmishner

11/29/21 11:20pm

Could absolutely work out... ends up being about a 2.9% chance

krindorr

11/29/21 11:32pm

Except, I think Bama needs to beat UGA for this to happen to put 2 SEC teams in

nephicoug

11/30/21 12:11am

Correct, that's what it should be

krindorr

11/30/21 12:26am

It doesn’t matter whether Utah or Oregon win because the one that does win

travelcoug

11/30/21 1:24am

It strengthens our SOS to have a win over a conference champ

nephicoug

11/30/21 9:47am

Auto bids go to the four highest ranked conference champions, not the highest

ptcougr

11/30/21 3:55am

If said conference champion is in the playoff, the next highest ranked team in

Blue Ridge

11/30/21 5:17am

One of the many proble4ms with the current system is that the 'rules' are so

ptcougr

11/30/21 7:55am

Playoff teams don’t count as auto bids except the G5 autobid

nephicoug

11/30/21 7:11am

How does 2 teams get the PAC bid, one of them not even in conference?

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