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Mar 27, 2020
12:32
:12
pm
cougfanz
Intervention Needed
If you have “severe” symptoms your chance at dying is a whole lot higher than
That
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cougfanz
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ndfan
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cougfanz
Joined
May 15, 2011
Last login
Jun 9, 2024
Total posts
18,161 (1 FO)
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Messages
Author
Time
Deaths per day
HONOMO
3/27/20 12:15pm
It’s not perfect, just like the other numbers
buffgato
3/27/20 12:17pm
Not cumulative linear scale no. Daily isolated are better along with
CSoul
3/27/20 12:19pm
How can you have a "Death Rate" if you only have number of deaths?
PJMort
3/27/20 12:20pm
What value is your death rate, if you don't know the denominator?
Indy Coug
3/27/20 12:23pm
A "doubling every X days" isn't a rate in a "Y per time" sense
Psalm Trees
3/27/20 12:33pm
We are using the data from South Korea to determine the Case Fatality Rate.
Zoobieman
3/27/20 12:51pm
I think best metric is just watching what happens in WA
cougfanz
3/27/20 12:22pm
Death Rate seems more scary to me than deaths per day. *1.5%.
The Old Y
3/27/20 12:24pm
That's why I hate those numbers. They're all we have to go on but we all know they are inflated
Indy Coug
3/27/20 12:26pm
Do you not trust the South Korean Case Fatality Rate?
Zoobieman
3/27/20 1:02pm
Nope. Don't you trust the German death to case ratio?
Indy Coug
3/27/20 1:08pm
The Germans and South Korean trends seem to be evolving similarly
coolcats
3/27/20 1:16pm
It doesn't contradict what I just said. No one is really doing enough serious work on quantifying
Indy Coug
3/27/20 1:19pm
I do trust the German number will be accurate at the end of the day.
Zoobieman
3/27/20 1:31pm
Yes, you basically have a 1.5% chance of dying if you have severe symptoms.
N8Dawg
3/27/20 12:26pm
If you have “severe” symptoms your chance at dying is a whole lot higher than
cougfanz
3/27/20 12:32pm
Sorry, worse than mild.
N8Dawg
3/27/20 12:34pm
That's scary!
darkcoug
3/27/20 12:31pm
That's showing total cumulative deaths, not deaths per day, right?
Scratch
3/27/20 12:34pm
Early on Death rate (Deaths per day) would be a good stat.
Zoobieman
3/27/20 12:49pm
It looks to be slowing the past couple days but today looks like a bigger day
jkccoug
3/27/20 12:50pm
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