Sep 29, 2016
8:31:07am
Random Walk All-American
It might be imprecise, but it's the best indicator of expectations that is
available.

Gambling markets are efficient because gamblers (collectively) use all of the available information in deciding where to put their money. I think that gambling spreads are a great way to understand expectations because there's a cost to being wrong.
This message has been modified
Originally posted on Sep 29, 2016 at 8:31:07am
Message modified by Random Walk on Sep 29, 2016 at 8:32:39am
Random Walk
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a priori
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Random Walk
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