The odds of a first down were good

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Sep 9, 2019
9:19:05am

Brigham All-American

3rd and 3. Give the ball to Ty’son 2 times.

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Brigham

Bio page: Brigham
Joined: Jul 6, 2001
Last login: May 5, 2024
Total posts: 22,872 (7 FO)

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Messages

Author

Time

Sitake goofed on the late punt with 4th and 3. There were about 3 minutes

Hinta

9/9/19 8:40am

This was a 50/50 for me.

LifeLongLakerFan

9/9/19 8:44am

This is my opinion. Going for it on 4th and NOT getting a 1st down would be

StarMan

9/9/19 8:48am

You and I agree with the announcers. They even brought up the fact

BYU71

9/9/19 9:51am

My only disagreement with this was our defense up to that point hadn’t given

PKCoug

9/9/19 11:48am

And you're all wrong. It's any easy calculation.

jvquarterback

9/9/19 3:15pm

We stopped them on D, got the ball back with 1 minute, scored the game-tying FG,

LifeLongLakerFan

9/10/19 11:52pm

That’s all the evidence you need? The fact that this one time it worked out?

PKCoug

9/11/19 11:48am

No, I was being cheeky. I do not fully agree with his analysis or conclusions,

LifeLongLakerFan

9/11/19 2:00pm

For me, the odds of losing after punting were significantly greater than odds

Left Shark Coug

9/9/19 8:56am

Punting there was a HUGE mistake, IMO.

BlueVU

9/9/19 8:44am

That last sentence should read more like 95 times out of 100. The odds

CDV

9/9/19 8:45am

Statistically picky much?

TailgateU

9/9/19 8:47am

Just saying he is right and maybe even more than he said.

CDV

9/9/19 8:50am

90% vs. 95% LOL

run26

9/9/19 11:14am

That means it's twice as unlikely. That's a big difference.

Jacksonian76

9/9/19 12:52pm

Technically yes, but it's the wrong baseline to make meaningful inferences.

TailgateU

9/9/19 1:12pm

It’s Trump math

run26

9/9/19 1:50pm

I don't know man, I think it's more like 994 out of 1000

Machiavelli

9/9/19 1:34pm

I said the same thing to my wife when it was 3rd down. I just about lost it

Goliath

9/9/19 8:46am

I was yelling loud, I don't know why the coaches didn't hear me.

Hinta

9/9/19 8:47am

I was yelling too, “Don’t punt!”

Cougar-Duck

9/9/19 8:51am

According to ESPN, it's 999 out of 1000 games that BYU loses.

Left Shark Coug

9/9/19 8:46am

That was later though. At the time of the punt the odds were slightly better still.

CDV

9/9/19 8:51am

Agree. It was dumb not to go for it.

cougfanz

9/9/19 8:50am

Bronco's still ticked that fans didn't love his decision to punt in his 1st game

BYU Fan

9/9/19 8:51am

Because, we only needed a field goal to tie, it was probably

Blue Ghost

9/9/19 8:57am

Don't thumbs down me, I would have preferred that he went for it...

Blue Ghost

9/9/19 9:02am

He's a KWhitt disciple. He will trust his special teams and defense every day of the week and twice on saturdays.

monkeycowboy

9/9/19 9:04am

Announcers were calling for a punt. They may not know as much

BYU71

9/9/19 9:05am

At some point the O has to score, because the D was very unlikely to do it.

Hinta

9/9/19 9:12am

We just got extremely lucky. Every college coach in America would go

kotacoug

9/9/19 9:36am

Well, the one that didn't won his game. Plus every coach in America would

BYU71

9/9/19 9:50am

Ya but you can’t say it wouldn’t have been easier the other way.

kotacoug

9/9/19 10:57am

If you go for it and get stopped on 4th down, Tennessee gets a field goal, but

tyrwhite

9/9/19 11:27am

Not sure, but know one knows for sure if we would have got the

BYU71

9/9/19 9:47am

The odds of a first down were good

Brigham

9/9/19 9:19am

I thought the discussion was whether to punt or not on 4th.

BYU71

9/9/19 9:48am

I like the odds of getting a first down there using 3rd and 4th downs running

kotacoug

9/9/19 9:23am

You've changed the question to what should we have done on 3rd down. That's

LifeLongLakerFan

9/11/19 2:06pm

Yeah you guys said this last year and we got the ball back with two minutes

puntersarepeople

9/9/19 12:00pm

RE: Sitake goofed on the late punt with 4th and 3. There were about 3 minutes

OriginalBlue

9/9/19 1:06pm

^^^^^^ Nailed it. When we punted I thought "What The????"

BleedCougarBlue2

9/9/19 1:13pm

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