Your stats seem extremely made up.
Why would there be a 1/5 chance of winning?
LSU would put up way more than 24 points. Washington put up 28 and usc scored 30...
Of course I made it up, just like you made up how many points LSU would score. Neither of us have a time machine. Utah seems to be getting stronger as the season goes on, especially on defense. I think Utah has a chance. Do I think it most likely they win, no, of course not.